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Lessons from the Sugar and Coffee Futures Markets

News - Thu, 11/01/2018 - 00:00
There are many lessons that we can learn from the price action in commodities markets. Commodities tend to rise to prices where output increases, inventories build, and demand declines. At lofty levels, prices peak and reverse. The most recent example was in the wood market where the price of lumber futures rose to a new all-time high at $659 per 1,000 board feet in May 2018 on the back of new home construction and economic growth in the United States. As the long-term quarterly chart highlights, the futures found a high in May, and by the end of October, just five months later, the... more